Max Henrion

Email: Henrion [at] Lumina.com | {phone_team_member} Office: {office_phone_direct} | {/phone_team_member}

Max Henrion has 30 years of experience as a researcher, educator, software designer, consultant, and entrepreneur, specializing in the design and effective use of decision technologies. He is the Founder and CEO of Lumina Decision Systems, which develops and publishes decision software and provides consulting and training in decision analysis. He is the lead designer of Lumina’s flagship product line, Analytica -— the software about which PC Week said “Everything that’s wrong with the common spreadsheet is fixed in Analytica”.  At Ask Jeeves, he was Vice President for Decision Technology, where he led the division that created the Jeeves Advisor, offering online consumer advice, based on technology acquired from Lumina.

He has led teams that have created decision-support tools in a wide variety of applications, including environment and energy, R&D management, healthcare, telecommunications, aerospace, security, and consumer choice. He has published three books, including Uncertainty: A Guide to dealing with Uncertainty in Policy and Risk Analysis  (Cambridge University Press, 1990), and over sixty peer-reviewed articles. He was the founding President of the Association for Uncertainty and Artificial Intelligence. He was Consulting Professor at Stanford University. He is Adjunct Professor at Carnegie Mellon University, where he was previously Associate Professor in the Departments of Engineering and Public Policy, and Social and Decision Science. He has an MA in Natural Sciences from Cambridge University, Master of Design from the Royal College of Art, London, and a PhD from Carnegie Mellon.

Selected Publications

• "Scientific Uncertainty in Environmental Risk Assessment", Morgan,  M. Henrion, S.C. Morris, & D.A.L. Amaral,  Environmental Science and Technology, Vol 19, No 18, August 1985, pp. 662-667.   
• Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence 5,  M. Henrion & R. Shachter (eds.),  Machine Intelligence and Pattern Recognition, Volume 10,  Elsevier, North Holland: Amsterdam, 1990.
• Uncertainty: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis, M. Granger Morgan and Max Henrion, Cambridge University Press: New York, 1990. 
• "Decision Analysis and Expert Systems", Max Henrion, Jack S. Breese, and Eric Horvitz, Artificial Intelligence Magazine, Vol 12, No 4, Winter1991, pp64-91.
• "Divide and Conquer? The effects of decomposition on the accuracy and calibration of subjective probabilities", M. Henrion, G. W.  Fischer & T. Mullin,  Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,  Vol 55, 207-227, 1993.
•  “The sensitivity of belief networks to imprecise probabilities: An experimental investigation”, Pradhan, M., Henrion, M., Provan, G., Del Favero, B., and Huang, K., Artificial Intelligence Journal, Vol: 84, Issue: 1-2, Jul 1996, pp. 357.
• “Uncertainty”, M. Henrion, MIT Encyclopedia of Cognitive Science, MIT Press, 1999, pp848-850.
• "Assessing  Uncertainty in Physical Constants", M. Henrion & B. Fischhoff, American Journal of Physics, 54, (9), September, 1986, pp. 791-798. Reprinted in Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment, Edited by Thomas Gilovich, Dale W Griffin, Daniel Kahneman, Cambridge UP, 2006.
• “Open-Source Policy Modeling”, M. Henrion,  I/S, A Journal of Law and Policy for the Information Society, fall, 2008.